The What If? Principle: Where Certainty Ends and Possibility Begins
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: The What If? Principle proposes a framework for disciplined inquiry at the boundary between what has been sufficiently established and what remains open to investigation. Its central conceptual formulations are: FINITE ← WHAT IF? → INFINITE CERTAINTY → WHAT IF? → POSSIBILITY The framework introduces an Assumption Gate—“What did we actually establish, and what did we add ourselves?”—to distinguish evidence from inference and hidden assumptions. It further establishes that possibility is not probability, recognizes unresolved as a legitimate epistemic conclusion when the available evidence does not justify a more definitive judgment, and requires recursive self-criticism through the principle: “Nothing—including What If?—gets a free pass.” The proposed contribution is not the invention of hypothetical reasoning, counterfactual reasoning, thought experimentation, or fallibilism. Rather, it is the organization of these established intellectual traditions into a unified operational framework for evidence-based inquiry. Version 1.0 — Frozen September 10, 2026. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.22710443
Author: Kearley, Thomas SR
Language: English
Subfield: Philosophy
Field: Arts and Humanities
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7212317236
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