Work

Fractional expectation thresholds and the "second" Kahn-Kalai conjecture

Year: 2026
Type: preprint
Abstract: We show that the uniform probability measure on copies of a nonempty graph $H$ in $K_n$ is $Cq_H\log(2e(H))$-spread, where $q_H$ is its graphic expectation threshold. Consequently, the fractional expectation threshold of $H$ is at most $Cq_H\log(2e(H))$. We remove the logarithmic factor for trees and for graphs whose average degree is at least the logarithm of their maximum degree. This proves the ``second'' Kahn-Kalai conjecture for these two classes, which encompass most of the standard families studied in random graph containment problems.
Author: Tran, Tuan
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7213580361
Cites: 4
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Related to: 10