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Stage-Specific Cost-Effectiveness of Early vs. Delayed Tafamidis for Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy in Japan

Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: BACKGROUND: Tafamidis improves survival in patients with transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM); however, its cost raises concerns regarding healthcare sustainability. We evaluated the stage-specific cost-effectiveness of tafamidis in Japan. METHODS AND RESULTS: Individual patient-level data were reconstructed from published Kaplan-Meier curves from the ATTR-ACT long-term extension study. Time-dependent survival benefit between early (continuous tafamidis) and delayed (placebo-to-tafamidis) tafamidis initiation was quantified using restricted mean survival time (RMST). Stage-specific incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were estimated according to National Amyloidosis Centre (NAC) stage. Drug costs reflected the official Japanese reimbursement price, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were derived from RMST gains. The primary endpoint was cardiovascular mortality. At maximum follow-up, RMST gains were 15.7, 13.1, and 1.2 months in NAC stage I, II, and III, respectively ICERs declined over time but remained above commonly accepted Japanese willingness-to-pay thresholds (5,000,000-15,000,000 yen/QALY). The lowest ICER was 47,000,000 yen/QALY in NAC stage I at 90 months. Sensitivity analyses showed that results were robust across utility assumptions, whereas drug cost was the principal determinant of cost-effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: The survival benefit and economic value of tafamidis varied by disease stage. Earlier-stage patients derived the greatest benefit and economic value; however, ICERs remained above Japanese willingness-to-pay thresholds across all NAC stages. Earlier diagnosis may maximize clinical benefit, but substantial price reduction is likely required for sustainable healthcare in ATTR-CM.
Language: English
Field: Medicine
Open Access status: diamond
Funder: Microsoft
OpenAlex ID: W7214573421
FWCI:
Cites: 23
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Related to: 10