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Computational design and prioritization of database-absent small-molecule GLP-1 receptor agonist candidates from public bioactivity data

Year: 2026
Type: preprint
Abstract: Public bioactivity data were used to construct a reproducible workflow for the computational prioritization of small-molecule glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor (GLP-1R) agonist candidates. Exact IC50, EC50, and Ki measurements were standardized, converted to pActivity, and deduplicated after structural exclusion of peptide-like records. The resulting dataset comprised 337 compounds and 155 Murcko scaffolds. Morgan fingerprints and physicochemical descriptors were evaluated using ridge regression, random forest, and XGBoost with scaffold-based validation. Random forest provided the lowest mean five-fold cross-validation root-mean-square error (RMSE; 0.497 pActivity units). Its scaffold-disjoint holdout performance was R2 = 0.236, RMSE = 0.760, and mean absolute error = 0.499. Local modifications of orforglipron generated 1,701 valid, unique analogs. Composite prioritization incorporated predicted activity, quantitative estimate of druglikeness, synthetic accessibility, and database absence. All 146 queried structures were absent from ChEMBL and PubChem under the implemented identity criteria. Of these, 46 passed an exploratory physicochemical filter, and 20 were shortlisted. No generated candidate passed the stricter drug-likeness filter. The leading candidate, GLP1R-01162, had predicted pActivity 7.677 and composite score 0.5400. These results defined an auditable set of computational hypotheses; they did not establish agonism, experimental potency, synthetic feasibility, or global novelty. Functional testing and independent novelty assessment remained necessary.
Source: ChemRxiv
Author: JOGU MOHAN
Language: English
Subfield: Drug Discovery
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7221694601
Cites: 12
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Related to: 10