Work

Geographic spread of vector borne diseases in periodic heterogeneous environments

Year: 2026
Type: preprint
Abstract: We consider a reaction-diffusion system that arises in epidemiology to describe the spatial spread of a vector borne disease. Our model is a coupled version of the classical SIR model of Kermack and McKendrick. We study the long-time behavior of the solutions, giving optimal criteria on the propagation or extinction of the disease, and compute the asymptotic speed of spread of solutions, which is given by a Freidlin-G{ä}rtner type formula. We also give some qualitative properties of the model, which yield information on the influence of the parameters on the system's long-time behavior. In particular, we identify the limit of the spreading speed when the diffusions are very large, and we show that the system behaves in this case similarly to a homogenized system.
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7223011382
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