Work

PBPK Model-Based Prediction of Optimal Rosuvastatin Dosing with Concomitant Ticagrelor in Elderly Patients Considering ABCG2 Genetic Variant

Year: 2026

Type: preprint

Abstract: Aims Rosuvastatin is commonly co-administered with ticagrelor in patients with acute coronary syndrome. Ticagrelor inhibits breast cancer resistance protein (BCRP/ABCG2), increasing rosuvastatin exposure and potentially the risk of rhabdomyolysis. This risk may be further influenced by age and the ABCG2 c.421C>A variant. We aimed to predict optimal rosuvastatin dosing with ticagrelor in elderly patients stratified by ABCG2 genotype using physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modelling Methods PBPK models for rosuvastatin and ticagrelor were developed and validated in PK-Sim® using clinical data from healthy adults, elderly patients, and individuals with wild-type or homozygous ABCG2 c.421C>A genotypes. Key parameters, including BCRP catalytic activity and age-dependent declines in CYP2C9 and CYP3A4 activity, were optimized. The drug–drug interaction model incorporated competitive BCRP inhibition by ticagrelor. Rosuvastatin steady-state exposure was simulated with half or quarter standard doses during ticagrelor co-administration, and exposure matching approach was used to identify optimal dosing. Results The PBPK models demonstrated good predictive performance across populations and genotypes. In young adults with the wild-type genotype, halving the rosuvastatin dose resulted in an AUC fold change of 1.44, supporting a half-dose strategy. In young homozygous variant carriers, half-dose co-administration produced comparable exposure (AUC fold change 0.78). In elderly wild-type individuals, a four-fold dose reduction achieved comparable exposure (AUC fold change 1.06), whereas elderly variant carriers required only a half-dose reduction (1.12). Conclusions PBPK modelling supported age- and ABCG2 genotype-specific rosuvastatin dosing with ticagrelor. Elderly wild-type patients may require a further dose reduction to minimise toxicity while maintaining therapeutic exposure.

Source: medRxiv

DOI: 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365646

Authors: Hoang Dat Nguyen, Vinh Hoa Pham, Junjie Ding, Joel Tarning

Institutions: Mahidol University, Animal and Plant Quarantine Agency, Mahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, University of Oxford, Infectious Diseases Data Observatory

Language: English

Topic: Pharmacogenetics and Drug Metabolism

Subfield: Pharmacology

Field: Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics

Domain: Life Sciences

SDG: Good health and well-being

Open Access status: green

Funder: Wellcome Trust