Plasma Proteomic Classification of Alzheimer Disease, Parkinson Disease, and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Using a Single Neurodegeneration Panel: A Diagnostic Cohort Study
Year: 2026
Type: preprint
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: Importance Blood biomarkers for Alzheimer disease(AD), Parkinson disease(PD), and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis(ALS) are typically developed as disease-specific single-analyte tests. Whether one shared plasma panel can support disease-selective classification remains unclear. Objective To test whether the Olink Target 48 Neurodegeneration plasma panel, analyzed with disease-specific Elastic Net models, can discriminate AD, PD, and ALS in a heterogeneous neurological cohort. Design, Setting, and Participants Single-center diagnostic cohort study at Keio University Hospital, Tokyo, Japan. After quality control and one consent withdrawal, 302 participants were analyzed(healthy controls n = 62; AD continuum n = 93; PD n = 39; ALS n = 27; other neurological disorders n = 81) and allocated by diagnosis-stratified sampling into a discovery training set(n = 211) and a locked hold-out test set(n = 91). Exposures Plasma normalized protein expression from 42 assays retained after protein quality control. Plasma DOPA decarboxylase was excluded a priori from all classifiers because blood levels primarily reflect dopaminergic treatment exposure. Main Outcomes and Measures Hold-out receiver operating characteristic area under the curve(AUC). Sensitivity and specificity at a training-set Youden threshold locked for Test. Results Hold-out AUCs were 0.974(95% CI, 0.942-0.995) for AD, 0.926(0.820-1.000) for PD, and 0.995(0.980-1.000) for ALS. At locked Youden cutoffs, sensitivity was 0.929 (95% CI, 0.765-0.991) and specificity was 0.921 (95% CI, 0.824-0.974) for AD, 0.833 (95% CI, 0.516-0.979) and 0.975 (95% CI, 0.912-0.997) for PD, and 1.000 (95% CI, 0.631-1.000) and 0.940 (95% CI, 0.865-0.980) for ALS. Conclusions and Relevance A single plasma neurodegeneration panel supported disease-selective classification of AD, PD, and ALS in internal validation. Multicenter external validation is needed before clinical application. Key Points Question Can a single plasma neurodegeneration panel classify Alzheimer disease (AD), Parkinson disease (PD), and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) in a heterogeneous neurological cohort? Findings In this diagnostic cohort study, disease-specific Elastic Net models derived from a single plasma panel enabled the discrimination of AD, PD, and ALS from other neurological disorders and healthy controls. Meaning A single plasma neurodegeneration panel can simultaneously support disease-selective classification of AD, PD, and ALS, offering a unified approach to blood-based diagnosis.
Source: medRxiv
Authors: Kensuke Okada, Sho Shimohama, Ryotaro Okochi, Shogyoku Bun, Keisuke Takahata, Hajime Tabuchi, Yu Iwabuchi, Toshiki Tezuka, Tomonori Nukariya, Shohei Okusa, Yoshihiro Nihei, Satoru Morimoto, Shinichi Takahashi, Kenji Tai, Yoshiaki Sato, Junro Kuromitsu, Jin Nakahara, Morinobu Seki, Hideyuki Okano, Masaru Mimura, Daisuke Ito
Institutions: Keio University, Keio University Global Research Institute, Keio University Hospital, National Institutes for Quantum Science and Technology, Institute for Quantum Medical Science, Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology, Saitama International Medical Center, Saitama Medical University, Eisai (Japan)
Language: English
Subfield: Psychiatry and Mental health
Field: Medicine
Domain: Health Sciences
Open Access status: green
Funders: Uehara Memorial Foundation, Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development, Keio University, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Eisai, National Center of Neurology and Psychiatry, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
OpenAlex ID: W7223119659
