Work

Aging Trends and Predictive Value of Equivalent Circuit Parameters: The Role of Operating Conditions in Battery State-of-Health Estimation

Year: 2026

Type: article

Abstract: This study investigates how two-RC equivalent circuit model (ECM) parameters reflect battery aging and contribute to state-of-health (SOH) estimation under different operating conditions. The analysis uses 12,643 measurements from 30 LG HE4 cells aged at 23–45 °C within five state-of-charge (SOC) windows spanning 0–100%. Parameters are identified from the first 300 s of post-discharge relaxation. Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) estimates SOH and quantifies predictive relevance through gain and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP); Gaussian process regression (GPR) and Ridge regression assess dependence on model choice using the same cell-disjoint folds. Sampled fast-response resistance R0 shows the clearest aging trend, followed by the pulse-to-rest indicator Rpr; individual branch resistances and time constants vary more strongly with operating point. XGBoost mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) decreases from 2.014% for ECM-only inputs to 1.444% with temperature, 1.688% with SOC-window information, and 1.023% with both, with corresponding R2 values of 0.850, 0.931, 0.874, and 0.963. Temperature provides the larger separate improvement. R0 remains prominent across models, whereas other feature rankings depend on the learner and available condition information. Aging sensitivity and predictive relevance therefore provide complementary, condition-dependent views of battery health.

Source: Batteries

DOI: 10.3390/batteries12110442

Authors: Mücahit Kutal, Birol Arifoğlu

Institution: Kocaeli Üniversitesi

Language: English

Topic: Battery Modeling and Management

Subfield: Automotive Engineering

Field: Engineering

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDG: Affordable and clean energy

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $3,258