FHAT Technical Note 065: SOXL on NFP Day — Potential Reversal Line or Bearish Continuation?
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: A pre-event study of SOXL ahead of the November 6, 2026 US nonfarm payrolls report, following its 38.71% daily decline. The note examines platform-classified money-flow divergence, pre-market recovery, resistance levels, and three historical analogs to map conditional paths: bullish repair, sideways consolidation, or bearish continuation. Analysis cut-off: 07:25 EST; version 1.3 frozen at 07:54 EST, before the release. Includes English and Chinese editions. KeywordsFHAT; SOXL; SOXS; NFP; nonfarm payrolls; leveraged ETFs; semiconductor ETFs; money-flow divergence; pre-market microstructure; historical analogs; technical analysis; conditional scenarios; risk management
Author: Han, Yingshan
Language: English
Subfield: Finance
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7225432824