The Uncertified Ellipse: The Joint Budget's Missing Certificate, and the Toll Budget at Stage-IV
Year: 2026
Type: preprint
Abstract: All-Fields programme paper (All-Fields Run, Batch 9 (AF)), November 2026. Written November 2026; publicly deposited 9 November 2026. Two budgets were charged. The first asked for AF-32's joint (w₀, w_a) distances recomputed at the record's own published ellipse for one named data combination, replacing the declared correlation classes ρ ∈ {0, −0.75} under which the verdicts flipped. The certificate does not exist in owned sources: what the corpus carries for the DESI-class combinations is the centre (−0.83, −0.75) and one-dimensional σ classes — the ellipse's correlation is nowhere stated in any file this line owns. Section 1 prints the audit and the obstruction, names the exact revival condition, and leaves the joint table standing at its declared classes with the flip range as its sensitivity. The second budget is AF-23's, refreshed: the toll forms 2.053528 / 2.055000 need σ(Ω_Λ) ≤ 0.0358% to separate at 2σ (0.0143% at 5σ), and §2 re-reads that requirement against the Stage-IV classes with their conditioning printed — Planck 0.81% (22.6× short), the current record 1.066% (29.8×), the DESI-full class 0.5% (14.0×), Stage-IV w₀w_a-marginalised 0.2% (5.6×), and the Stage-IV ΛCDM-conditional optimistic edge 0.1% (2.8
Author: Aldred, William Alexander
Language: English
Subfield: Astronomy and Astrophysics
Field: Physics and Astronomy
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7225460860