Work

Whom Do You Trust?

Year: 2026

Type: article

Abstract: Eight tests any reader can apply to any analyst or forecaster, in war, markets or economics, worked through the Iran war with CRUCIBEL tested first. Every day, decision makers act on what analysts and forecasters say will happen next. This paper sets out eight tests any reader can apply to any forecast, in war, markets or economics, and works them through the Iran war, CRUCIBEL included. Published in CRUCIBEL Journal, 2026-11-07. Read the paper online: https://crucibeljournal.com/whom-do-you-trust/

Source: Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.24044883

Author: Garner, Dino

Language: English

Topic: Forecasting Techniques and Applications

Subfield: Management Science and Operations Research

Field: Decision Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

Open Access status: green

OpenAlex ID: W7225468469

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