O‘zbekistonda Kichik Biznes Rivojlanishining Hududiy Tafovutlari Va Tarkibiy Omillarini Statistik-ekonometrik Baholash
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: The article assesses the structural and regional features of small business development in Uzbekistan using official statistics for 2010–2025. The structural shift in business demography is tested with Welch’s t-test, while the dynamics of the small business share in gross regional product across 14 regions are analysed using linear trends, Ward clustering, and σ- and β-convergence. The effect of small business participation in industries and foreign trade on its share in GDP is estimated with a multiple regression model including a dummy variable and diagnostic tests. The results show that after 2019 the net survival rate increased from 4.3% to 14.4%, the small business share in GRP declined significantly in 11 of 14 regions, and the inter-regional coefficient of variation rose from 12.8% to 22.1%. The regression model (R²=0.885) reveals a positive effect of the industrial share and a negative effect of the export share, while the Chow test confirms a structural break in 2019. Based on the findings, proposals are developed to differentiate small business support policy according to regional typology
Author: Nazar Nazarov
Language: English
Subfield: Economics and Econometrics
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: hybrid
OpenAlex ID: W7225646417
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