The Vertical Threat: Commercial UAVs Proliferation and the Asymmetric Logic of TTP's Drone Warfare
Year: 2026
Type: preprint
Abstract: Terrorism is no longer limited to roadside bombings and suicide attacks, but has also been seeping into the airspace. This study explores how the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) is integrating commercially modified, off-the-shelf drone as a new weapon in its arsenal in the wake of the 2021 security landscape. It contends that drone use by Tehrik-e-Taliban presents a ‘low-cost stand-off capability', which fosters the powers of surveillance, intimidation, propaganda and selective strike. Taking a qualitative approach that relies on security reports, incident databases and academic work the study reveals that the drone capability of TTP can be attributed to the spread of commercial technology into the militant sphere. Drones serve both operational and symbolic purpose, as they combine intelligence, surveillance, propaganda, and attack elements, and appear technologically sophisticated and increase the psychological pressure. Security reports show that 2024 was an experiment and 2025 was the year for wider use of armed quadcopters in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa as around 246-armed quadcopter attacks were reported, while till June 2026, around 53 attacks were reported. This development is explained by the Terrorist Innovation Model that connects technological diffusion, organizational adaptation, tactical deployment. It concludes with policy recommendations. While drones have not yet proven to be strategically decisive, their accessibility and influence have increased the reach of militant violence to a greater extent.
Source: Research Square
Author: Fawad Afridi
Institutions: National Defence University, National Defence University
Language: English
Subfield: Sociology and Political Science
Field: Social Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7225743238