Work

Model for Selecting Cybersecurity Measures in Distributed Information Systems Based on Bayesian Game Theory

Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: The article proposes an integrated model for selecting cybersecurity measures in distributed information systems based on Bayesian game theory. The integrated model is defined as a single construct combining a graph representation of the system, a finite Bayesian attacker–defender interaction, node-compromise assessment, multistage network loss propagation, and optimization-based selection of security controls. All losses and costs are normalized to a common dimensionless scale, while attacker strategies and types are treated as finite working sets that can be extended. A numerical experiment was conducted for a synthetic 50-node network and four attack scenarios. Compared with a fixed static configuration, the integrated model reduced normalized expected losses by 27.1–32.4%; the mean loss decreased from 0.688 to 0.480, corresponding to a 30.2% relative reduction. A separate quantitative reduction in defense costs was not evaluated and is therefore not claimed. The result provides a formal decision-support basis for selecting cybersecurity measures under uncertainty and network interdependence, while operational validation on real network data remains necessary.
Language: English
Open Access status: hybrid
OpenAlex ID: W7225813892
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Cites: 20
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