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Is It Always Rational to Satisfy Savage's Axioms?

Year: 2009
Type: article
Abstract: This note argues that, under some circumstances, it is more rational not to behave in accordance with a Bayesian prior than to do so. The starting point is that in the absence of information, choosing a prior is arbitrary. If the prior is to have meaningful implications, it is more rational to admit that one does not have sufficient information to generate a prior than to pretend that one does. This suggests a view of rationality that requires a compromise between internal coherence and justification, similarly to compromises that appear in moral dilemmas. Finally, it is argued that Savage's axioms are more compelling when applied to a naturally given state space than to an analytically constructed one; in the latter case, it may be more rational to violate the axioms than to be Bayesian.
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W2145389643
FWCI: 5.872
Cites: 26
Cited by: 135
Related to: 10