Work

Future Changes of Summer Monsoon Characteristics and Evaporative Demand Over Asia in CMIP6 Simulations

Year: 2020

Type: article

Abstract: Future greenhouse warming is expected to influence the characteristics of global monsoon systems. However, large regional uncertainties still remain. Here we use 16 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models to determine how the length of the summer rainy season and precipitation extremes over the Asian summer monsoon domain will change in response to greenhouse warming. Over East Asia the models simulate on average on the earlier onset and later retreat; whereas over India, the retreat will occur later. The model simulations also show an intensification of extreme rainfall events, as well as an increase of seasonal drought conditions. These results demonstrate the high volatility of the Asian summer monsoon systems and further highlight the need for improved water management strategies in this densely populated part of the world.

Source: Geophysical Research Letters

DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087492

Authors: Kyung‐Ja Ha, Suyeon Moon, Axel Timmermann, Daeha Kim

Institutions: Institute for Basic Science, IBS Center for Climate Physics, Pusan National University, APEC Climate Center

Language: English

Topic: Climate variability and models

Subfield: Global and Planetary Change

Field: Environmental Science

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDG: Climate action

Open Access status: hybrid

Estimated APC paid: $2,500