Work

The Forecasting of Transportation of People by Rail in Poland for 2024 in Terms of Economic Security in the Republic of Poland

Year: 2024

Type: article

Abstract: The multidimensional comparative analyzes of transportation of people by rail were used in the article. The time series was analyzed and evaluated in order to detect the following phenomena: trend, seasonality and random factor. The initial time series was divided into parts in order to remove data that, due to the impact of a random phenomenon such as the COVID-19 pandemic, lost trends visible in the past (from January 2012 to December 2019). The Winters’ exponential smoothing method was used for the forecasting. The obtained forecast for 2024 is 390 380 000 passengers transported by rail in Poland. The mean absolute forecast error is 2,18.

Source: Journal of Security and Sustainability Issues

DOI: 10.47459/jssi.2023.13.43

Authors: Bartosz Kozicki, Paweł Lubiewski, Bartosz Błaszczak, David Zámek

Institutions: Military University of Technology in Warsaw, WSB University, Pan-European University

Language: English

Topic: Forecasting Techniques and Applications

Subfield: Management Science and Operations Research

Field: Decision Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDG: Industry, innovation and infrastructure

Open Access status: diamond

OpenAlex ID: W4391841007

FWCI: 0.222

Cites: 10

Cited by: 1

Related to: 10