Year: 2024
Type: article
Abstract: Climate change threatens the role of European forests as a long-term carbon sink. Assisted migration aims to increase the resilience of forest tree populations to climate change, using species-specific climatic limits and local adaptations through transferring seed provenances. We modelled assisted migration scenarios for seven main European tree species and analysed the effects of species and seed provenance selection, accounting for environmental and genetic variations, on the annual above-ground carbon sink of regrowing juvenile forests. To increase forest resilience, coniferous trees need to be replaced by deciduous species over large parts of their distribution. If local seed provenances are used, this would result in a decrease of the current carbon sink (40 TgC yr −1 ) by 34–41% by 2061–2080. However, if seed provenances adapted to future climates are used, current sinks could be maintained or even increased to 48–60 TgC yr −1 .
Source: Nature Climate Change
Authors: Debojyoti Chakraborty, Albert Ciceu, Dalibor Ballian, Marta Benito Garzón, Andreas Bolte, Gregor Bozic, Rafael Buchacher, Jaroslav Čepl, Eva Cremer, Alexis Ducousso, Julian Gaviria, Jan Peter George, André Hardtke, Mladen Ivankovic, Marcin Klisz, Jan Kowalczyk, Antoine Kremer, Milan Lstibůrek, Roman Longauer, Georgeta Mihai, László Nagy, Krasimira Petkova, Emil Popov, Randolf Schirmer, Tore Skrøppa, Thomas Mørtvedt Solvin, Arne Steffenrem, Jan Stejskal, Srdjan Stojnic, Katharina Volmer, Silvio Schueler
Institutions: Austrian Research Centre for Forests, University of Sarajevo, Academy of Sciences and Arts of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Slovenian Forestry Institute, Université de Bordeaux, Institut National de Recherche pour l'Agriculture, l'Alimentation et l'Environnement, UMR BIOdiversity, GEnes & Communities, Johann Heinrich von Thünen-Institut, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Bayerische Akademie für Naturschutz und Landschaftspflege, Natural Resources Institute Finland, Nordwestdeutsche Forstliche Versuchsanstalt, Croatian Forest Research Institute, Instytut Badawczy Leśnictwa, National Forest Centre, Mendel University in Brno, National Institute for Research and Development in Forestry "Marin Drăcea", Forest Research Institute, University of Sopron, University of Forestry, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Forest Research Institute, Norwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research, University of Novi Sad, Institute of Lowland Forestry and Environment
Language: English
Topic: Forest Management and Policy
Subfield: Forestry
Domain: Life Sciences
SDGs: Climate action, Life on land
Open Access status: hybrid
Estimated APC paid: $12,290
Funders: Soproni Egyetem, European Commission, Javna Agencija za Raziskovalno Dejavnost RS, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Česká Zemědělská Univerzita v Praze, Université de Bordeaux, Mendelova Univerzita v Brně, Institut National de Recherche pour l'Agriculture, l'Alimentation et l'Environnement, Thünen-Institut, Horizon 2020 Framework Programme, Fakulta Lesnická a Drevarská, Česká Zemědělská Univerzita v Praze, Norsk institutt for Bioøkonomi, Interreg
OpenAlex ID: W4400985152