Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: Coffee is one of the most important agricultural crops in Mexico due to its economic and social relevance and because it generates income in rural areas, placing the country in the fourteenth place worldwide as a producer. In order to identify the economic factors that determine national coffee production, an econometric study was conducted in Mexico for the 1960-2024 period. A multiple linear regression model was applied based on time series obtained from official sources such as INEGI, SADER, OIC and Banxico. The dependent variable was coffee production, explained by the cultivated area, international prices, real input prices and production lags. The results show a high level of fit (R²= 0.974; Fcalculated= 207.72> Ftabulated= 2.15), indicating that the selected variables significantly explain the variations in production. It was found that the cultivated area, lagged production and two- and four-period lagged prices positively influence production, while international prices and some price lags have negative effects. In conclusion, Mexican coffee production depends mainly on the cultivated area and the behavior of production in previous years, reflecting the temporal persistence characteristic of this perennial crop.
Institution: Chapingo Autonomous University
Language: Spanish
Subfield: Economics and Econometrics
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: diamond
OpenAlex ID: W7166344273