Win Ratios in Ophthalmology—a Hierarchical Metric to Evaluate Adverse Outcomes in Comparative Studies
Year: 2026
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: Purpose: Clinical trials in ophthalmology frequently report multiple efficacy and safety outcomes of varying clinical importance analyzed either in isolation or as simple composites. The Win Ratio (WR) is a hierarchical composite metric originally developed to address such limitations in cardiovascular research by integrating outcomes according to their clinical priority. In this study, we assess its potential utility in ophthalmology outcomes with glaucoma surgery as the exemplar. Design: Retrospective registry-based study. Subjects: There are 1257 eyes that underwent a Xen gel stent (Xen) implantation or trabeculectomy (Trab) with a minimum 12 months of follow-up. Methods: Propensity score matching yielded two comparable cohorts (212 eyes each) without significant differences in age, baseline intraocular pressure, number of medications, visual acuity, or visual field mean deviation. A predefined hierarchy of eight adverse outcomes was constructed, headed by loss of light perception vision, secondary glaucoma surgery, followed by early postoperative complications (e.g., hypotony and hyphaema) or bleb needling. Each Xen-Trab pair was evaluated sequentially and classified as a win, loss, or tie. Main outcome measures: value was estimated, and sensitivity analyses examined the robustness of results under alternative outcome hierarchies and random permutations. Results: = 0.19), although the difference was not significant. Differences were driven by higher rates of secondary glaucoma surgery (18.4% vs. 12.7%) and bleb needling within the first 6 months (28.8% vs. 13.2%) in the Xen group, with remaining outcomes occurring infrequently and evenly distributed in each group. Sensitivity analyses with alternative hierarchies yielded consistent results (WR range 0.80-0.98), and random permutations of lower-ranked outcomes clustered around WR 0.77, supporting the consistency of the final outcome. Conclusions: The WR offers a clinically meaningful, hierarchical approach to comparing multidimensional treatments that respects clinical priorities. Our findings illustrate the potential utility of this metric in the prospective evaluation of trial outcomes in ophthalmology. Financial Disclosures: The authors have no proprietary or commercial interest in any materials discussed in this article.
Source: Ophthalmology Science
Institutions: The University of Sydney, UNSW Sydney, Prince of Wales Hospital, The University of Melbourne, The Royal Victorian Eye & Ear Hospital, Centre for Eye Research Australia, University of Auckland, Université de Bourgogne, CHU Dijon Bourgogne, National Health Service, National Institute for Health and Care Research, Moorfields Eye Hospital, University College London
Language: English
Subfield: Statistics and Probability
Field: Mathematics
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $2,500
OpenAlex ID: W7204196337
