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AAgWa Crop Production Forecasts Brief Series, No. 380

Year: 2026
Type: report
Abstract: T he crop production forecasts brief series by AKADEMIYA2063's Africa Agriculture Watch (AAgWa) aims to provide more accurate and timely data on harvests and yields for 11 major crops across nearly 50African countries.The timeliness, wide availability, and ease of access to this type of data will enable stakeholders across the value chain to plan and execute policy and business actions more efficiently.The data published in the briefs are generated through the Africa Crop Production (AfCP) model, an Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based model applied to remotely sensed geo-biophysical data to produce estimates at pixel as well as administrative levels as early as the beginning of each growing season.In Brief 380, we provide forecasts on rice production in Chad.In 2026, rice production in Chad is projected to reach 261,486 metric tons (MT), a 1% increase over 2025 production.The highest rice producers are expected to be Tandjilé Est (Tandjilé), Tandjilé Ouest (Tandjilé), Kabbia (Mayo-Kebbi Est), Pendé (Logone Oriental), and Mont Illi (Mayo-Kebbi Est), with production levels estimated at 36,930 MT, 28,892 MT, 25,266 MT, 19,867 MT, and 19,085 MT, respectively.In contrast, lower production values are observed in Djourf Al Ahmar (Sila), Nokou (Kanem), Fitri (Batha), Djourf Al Ahmar (Ouaddaï), and Assoungha (Ouaddaï), with production of 33 MT, 33 MT, 32 MT, 16 MT, and 9 MT, respectively.Compared to 2025, the most significant rice production increases in 2026 are expected in districts such as Mayo-Dallah (Mayo-Kebbi Ouest), Barh Köh (Moyen-Chari), Mandoul Oriental (Mandoul), Batha Oues (Batha), and Barh Sara (Mandoul), with differences of 1,550 MT, 1,075 MT, 1,052 MT, 592 MT, and 462 MT, respectively.These correspond to changes of 26%, 47%, 7%, 114%, and 29%.
Language: English
Subfield: Ecology
Open Access status: gold
OpenAlex ID: W7220679016
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